In an article for The Digitalist Papers, co-director David Autor and Neil Thompson envision potential scenarios for how AI will transform work, depending on how it changes the value of human expertise.

AI could make human labor obsolete – or it could create entirely new types of work requiring expertise.

“Current policy debates focus largely on which jobs AI will eliminate,” they write. But “automation’s impacts on both employment and wages depend not only on how many tasks are automated, but which.”